| September 21
Be cautious! Fund managers pare stake in over 60 stocks over last year
Source- Money Control
Stock selection is the most important parameter when it comes to long-term wealth creation. If you are invested in the right stocks, you will be rewarded while if the stock selection is poor then the possibility of erosion of capital remains high.
There are as many as 64 stocks in which fund managers have reduced stake consistently in the last four quarters. The fall in stake could also be related to booking of partial profits while for the rest, fund managers could be turning cautious.
More than 70 percent of the companies, or 48 out of 64 companies, have given negative returns to investors in the last year. Out of 48, there are 20 stocks that have fallen over 50 percent.
The 20 stocks include Wonderla Holidays, PNB, Union Bank of India, Canara Bank, Equitas Holdings, PNB Housing Finance, Future Retail, Indian Bank, and HSIL, data from AceEquity showed.Data for last year suggests that fund managers have been steadily reducing stake in companies that are consumer-facing, NBFCs, or auto ancillary which might have got impacted due to slowdown in demand, and economic activity, suggest experts.
“Major exits by the fund managers are from consumer, NBFC, and Auto Ancillaries. Although the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic is not fully seen in March 2020 portfolio, evidently these sectors are under pressure owing to the economic slowdown,” Amit Singh, Head, Investica told Moneycontrol.
“Over the next 1-2 quarters, this impact will be visible in the financial results. Considering the current market scenario, it is better to stay away from cyclical sectors. Especially in NBFCs and HFCs, the default rates for retail and MSME loans may see an increase in the next few quarters,” he said.
Singh further added that this will have a direct impact on their top line. Investors should be careful with their investment in HFCs and NBFCs and should avoid these sectors to the extent possible.
What should investors do?
Not all stocks in which MFs have pared the stake gave negative returns. There is one stock that has more than doubled investor wealth, while as many as 10 stocks gave a return of 10-70 percent in the same period.
As many as 16 out of 64 stocks in which fund managers reduced stake have given positive returns, including Abbott India, ICICI Securities, Torrent Pharma, Trent, Colgate Palmolive and Dabur India, data from AceEquity showed.Even though some of the stocks have risen despite fund managers reducing their stake, experts feel that investors should stay cautious, and avoid these stocks.
However, no decision should be taken in isolation, and investors should consult their financial advisor or do their own analysis before making a buy or a sell decision.
“Fund managers are considered as experts of their profession and they had their past record to speak for themselves. It is better to avoid stocks in which they are consistently reducing their stake as they are more capable of analyzing stocks,” Nitin Shahi, Executive Director, Findoc told Moneycontrol.
“Investors should be wary of such activities of various funds and try avoid betting on these stocks. Fundamental aspects like ROE, ROCE, profit growth over the years remain the main factors to acquire any stock,” he said.
Paras Bothra, President of Equity Research, Ashika Stock Broking suggest investors avoid following somebody`s investment style because investment decisions should always be based on company financials and cash flows and relevant return ratios and most importantly confidence in the management.
“In these challenging times, companies run by strong management and having strong business models will overcome quickly,” he said.